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I would love to understand in more detail what kind of use cases we’re talking about.

Is this about locating the right target for a sortie for example?


Anthropic already had a deal via Palantir so it seems it's models are used in a variety of ways by the pentagon.

The reports about Venezuela and Iran seem to suggest it's primary role was processing bulk intel.

But also that it was being used in planning and target selection.

Presumably what spooked Anthropic was that these tools were about to be directed internally.

But it's not clear if this is a point of principle that the government wants no holds barred with it's tools?


Anthropic was very clear about the usage restrictions: They didn't want them being used to control autonomous kill drones or mass surveillance of the American public. That's it. DoW didn't like that -- for reasons that will probably soon become apparent.

Correct, it will be about silencing any opposition against this administration. OpenAI will be happy to let their models be used to persecute, kill, and destroy american democracy if it lines Sam's pockets.

> I would love to understand in more detail what kind of use cases we’re talking about.

The whole point is that the use-case does not matter; either you allow the government to do everything they want, either you don’t.


either you allow a democratically elected government to do everything they want that is legal, or you insert private corporate decision-making into every government decision which is untenable

Is there any evidence that going outside the scope of the agreement would amount to anything more than a contract violation? Are we really to expect that Anthropic general counsel sits at the API gates allowing or blocking requests?

More generally, are there any comparable contract requirements in the field of defense, for a company in the same position as Anthropic? I'm curious.


You're missing the huge step that the government asking for "all legal uses" terminology is also who decides what is legal. Congress isn't willing to act as a check on executive power, meaning the contract they demanded simply says "I do what I want."

Sure... So the USA of Trump have just decided to stop themselves and all their military suppliers from using the very best coding tools.

I suppose the USA's frenemies will jump on the occasion and use the incredible opportunity offered to them in a silver platter.


For anyone worried about AGI coming soon. Today I asked Claude to stop using em dashes. That was his/her answer:

Noted — I'II avoid em dashes going forward and use other punctuation or restructure sentences instead.


I know some very smart guys that don’tknow how to use a microwave. And what? Doesn’t mean much

Are you afraid of them?

> if you don't assert collective ownership of the resource before private companies capture all the value

Isn't that how communism (should have) worked?


Alaska and Norway aren't communist. They're capitalist economies with thriving private sectors. Oil companies still operate, still profit, still compete. The public just gets a share of the value extracted from a collectively owned resource.

The Alaska Permanent Fund has been running since 1982 inside the most conservative state in America. Norway's sovereign wealth fund is the largest on earth and their economy is doing fine.

These models work.. work well... And they exist comfortably within mixed market economies.

The question is whether the public gets a cut when private companies build fortunes on a collectively generated resource, or whether they don't. We already know the answer can be yes without anything breaking.

Our entire white collar system might be a house of cards with AI, what I am proposing is a safe hedge against a future with potentially massive wealth inequality, and increased unemployment. But this isn't just about protection from injury... people should BENEFIT massively.


ok, fair enough. I think I misread your first comment.

not sure if that would work in this case since all these companies scraped (publicly) available data? So with the right resources anyone could redo it?


Well, two things worth considering.

First, training isn't a one-time event. These companies are continuously scraping new data, training new model generations, ingesting new human output. Every new model is a new extraction event. The fact that GPT-4 already trained on your 2022 blog post doesn't mean the window is closed. GPT-6 will train on your 2025 and 2026 output too. There's always a live point at which to assert a collective claim.

Likely - these models will always be training on us to better understand us and continue to be of value to us commercially.

Second, "anyone could redo it with the right resources" is technically true but practically meaningless. Anyone could theoretically drill for oil too. The barrier was never access to the crude sitting in the ground. It was the billions in infrastructure needed to extract and refine it. Same here. The data is public, but the compute required to turn it into a frontier model costs billions. That concentration of capital is exactly why a public claim on the value makes sense, just like it did with oil.


Nice project!

But this is definitely NOT for a poor man. Poor people buy a $20 camera on Amazon.

A time-rich person can afford this camera.


Polaroid film costs about 1 euro for them, and a thermal image costs about 1 cent. After enough photos, it cancels out

Sure, but what about other costs. You can pick up a poloroid for about $50-75 on ebay. With this one, you will need to buy things like a 3D printer (and the necessary accessories, like filament), the rasperry pi, battery pack, printer, etc. Yes, the thermal paper is cheaper over all, but the cost will be a lot more up front, even if it work out over time. Don't get me wrong, this is a cool toy, but the title is definitely a bit off.

The printer is about 20 euro, raspberry pi zero is currently 10 euro, pi zero camera is 14 euro. I don't know how much 3d printing services cost, since i have my own printer. Powerbank depends on which powerbank you choose. Cost difference is probably less than you'd expect

While I did just buy a 3D printer, I want to enlighten the community: many public libraries now have maker spaces. I recommend checking those out if you want to do one off stuff

There's plenty of services that 3D print for you.

This comment is sponsored by JLCPCB

You can buy a camera with an integrated thermal printer for 20$ or even less.

On the moon or on Mars?

There are already 2M robots on Mars, Elon is working on a space mission to bring 1M back.

In the mountains of Iran and stepps of Ukraine, I fear… and before you downvote, consider that starlink are in both, already.

Created two new accounts to push your narrative?


Artifacts from 700kya were not left by anatomically modern humans.

Oh good, is Jesus part of this narrative too I assume given the 2000 years reference?

Edit: he deleted his comments, he mentioned something about a Waterford axe and every conflict for the past 2000 years being to hide this information. Also something about going to war for gods


+ the conductors driving more slowly

It would be ironic if it turned out to improve the situation.

Driving slower can make things more predictable and reduce wear, making breakdowns less likely. Trains being on time is all about consistency.


It's easier to make money doing unexpected things

Could you elaborate?


That was far crazier than I expected going into it... To the point I've seen Hollywood movies with far more believable plots that people would find unrealistic.

I just noticed the Wikipedia article has a very relevant and interesting link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coffin_ship_(insurance)

Is there a site where I can bet on site reliability?

This is a great business plan.

Since downdetector has been bought, we can make a new site, where people can bet on what sites will be down. The whole market can be automated fairly easily to check whether a given website is responding.

This should divert a substantial proportion of the world's DDoS capacity.


This made me think of another idea for you/us:

Bet on which companies will be hacked next! Divert some hacker capacity…


The same "everyone" that said Ukraine will be taken in 2 weeks max?

No one knows how this will end. Anyone claiming to is either lying or stupid or both.


This is not a good take. Obviously no one knows, but there very serious and good reasons to believe this will not end easily or well.

I'd be curious to know what group thought that Ukraine would be taken in 2 weeks, but also thinks that the Iranian war will be a quagmire.

Either they have a lot of information I'm missing, are complete idiots, or are being dishonest.


You’re missing my point.

No one can know at this stage. It’s called fog of war.

Those who pretend offer easy explanations because people crave easy answers.

It’s not satisfying to say: "it’s very complex, we can’t know, here are the odds". But that’s the current state of affairs.


There's zero chance the US/Israel will win this war and stop 100% of their military actions in the next 8 weeks.

8 weeks is the absolute upper bound of the estimates from the officials of both countries. The officials are clearly lying.


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