He was posting on Truth Social yesterday about how the US has enough materiel to fight forever.

The United States Munitions Stockpiles have, at the medium and upper medium grade, never been higher or better - As was stated to me today, we have a virtually unlimited supply of these weapons. Wars can be fought "forever," and very successfully, using just these supplies (which are better than other countries finest arms!). At the highest end, we have a good supply, but are not where we want to be. Much additional high grade weaponry is stored for us in outlying countries. Sleepy Joe Biden spent all of his time, and our Country's money, GIVING everything to P.T. Barnum (Zelenskyy!) of Ukraine - Hundreds of Billions of Dollars worth - And, while he gave so much of the super high end away (FREE!), he didn't bother to replace it. Fortunately, I rebuilt the military in my first term, and continue to do so. The United States is stocked, and ready to WIN, BIG!!! Thank you for your attention to this matter. President DONALD J. TRUMP

Obviously he's full of shit but he's actively trying to balance the idea tht it will be over quickly wit the idea that the US has unlimited warmaking capacity. Neither is true of course.

Since you posted that, in congressional testimony, a member of the administration implied they're running out of the "high end" interceptors, and that drones will probably start getting through in higher numbers.

So, in a surprise to no one, your last paragraph has already been confirmed.

It's kind of crazy that he's already blaming the loss of the war on Biden.

If the US wins, then Biden balanced things with Ukraine pretty much perfectly. If it loses, then Trump should have known better to strike before rebuilding the stockpile.

He probably should have waited at least a month or two to blame Biden if he wanted to convince anyone with an IQ > 80.

It already was a regional forever war. The US just decided to partake in the festivities.

The same "everyone" that said Ukraine will be taken in 2 weeks max?

No one knows how this will end. Anyone claiming to is either lying or stupid or both.

This is not a good take. Obviously no one knows, but there very serious and good reasons to believe this will not end easily or well.

I'd be curious to know what group thought that Ukraine would be taken in 2 weeks, but also thinks that the Iranian war will be a quagmire.

Either they have a lot of information I'm missing, are complete idiots, or are being dishonest.

You’re missing my point.

No one can know at this stage. It’s called fog of war.

Those who pretend offer easy explanations because people crave easy answers.

It’s not satisfying to say: "it’s very complex, we can’t know, here are the odds". But that’s the current state of affairs.

There's zero chance the US/Israel will win this war and stop 100% of their military actions in the next 8 weeks.

8 weeks is the absolute upper bound of the estimates from the officials of both countries. The officials are clearly lying.