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Where you are born is a matter of luck, and not just in governance. You can directly correlate success in the US to the zip code you were born into.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/19/learning/how-much-has-you...



Fortunately, you can move to whatever zip code you like.


Not if you don’t have the money or time because you’re working three jobs. Or you have kids from a previous divorce and can’t leave the state or you never see them again.


> Not if you don’t have the money

The homeless in Seattle are largely not from Seattle. Somehow they managed to get here.

So do the people who come by the millions, walking across the continent to get into the US.

In fact, America was populated by poor people coming from Europe. The Titanic's money maker wasn't the first class section, it was steerage. Maybe check out Ellis Island.

Chicago was populated by poor people looking for work.

The American West was settled with people with no money.

> Or you have kids from a previous divorce and can’t leave the state

That's the result of choices the person made.

I wonder what the schools teach about American history :-/


I wonder what the schools teach about economics :-/

Please don’t attempt to educate me on the idea that “poor people can move.” My parents were poor immigrants and moved twice, across two continents, with nothing in their pockets, to try and make a better life.

That does not mean they could do that today. The economy has changed. Cost of living has gone up dramatically. There is no more “western frontier” where one can luck out and find gold. It is much much harder to move now than ever before.

And that’s before you get to the fact that my parents were here illegally for almost 30 years, but had SSNs, paid taxes, handled all their debt, did not take government handouts/subsidies, never got in trouble, and so on. They were able to do that because paperwork back then was … paper, and they could find people to make it work. Today they’d be deported.

With all due respect, your point of view is marred by the fact that you’ve had success. Spend some time actually talking to some poor people, before you start to tell them why they are poor.

As for “That's the result of choices the person made,” this is a dumb argument. Condoms break. Abortion is illegal in many states. Divorces happen because of things that are not entirely in someone’s control, even after years of happy marriage (i.e. someone cheats). Full custody is something only courts can grant, not your own choices. If you can’t get it, you can’t leave the state, or you don’t get to see your kid again. That has nothing to do with your choice to get married to the love of your life and have a child with them.

The logical conclusion of your argument is “well you can choose to leave your kid behind” which is nonsense.

Please consider that your perspective may be biased by not having actually spoken to anyone in the situations you purport to know so much about.


> The American West was settled with people with no money.

Gee, almost like massive parcels of land were given away to incentivize that. Truly one of the dumbest statements I've ever seen on this website.


Unfortunately, that's not how it works. a) no you can't just decide to go and live in any postcode you want, you need to be able to afford the cost of living there, and b) the study is about where you're born, not just where you end up.


> no you can't just decide to go and live in any postcode you want,

Yeah, you can.

> you need to be able to afford the cost of living there

More affluent places hire maids, gardeners, handymen, drivers, etc. The even wealthier ones have places for them to live on the premises. In Seattle, of course, they just pitch a tent on the street or live in their cars.

This thread reminds me of: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P0q4o58pKwA


> More affluent places hire maids, gardeners, handymen, drivers, etc. The even wealthier ones have places for them to live on the premises.

I’m trying to tell whether this is a serious argument. Yes, the very wealthiest might allow their most trusted servants to live on their estates but that’s like saying that anyone can go to the moon or win an Olympic gold medal because some humans have done it. Most rich people do not do that and those positions are not widely available: for example, the most common would be live-in nannies which often require things like college degrees and the “right” background. The far more common outcome is that most workers commute to those exclusive places and they often have very strong rules (the last time I drive through an expensive area outside of San Diego, it was noticeable how often the roads were blocked by landscapers’ trucks because they weren’t even allowed to park in the dozen car driveways every estate has). It’s not even uncommon to have things like shuttles so they can park where it’s cheaper and not have to drive all of the way in.


Like many people with a libertarian outlook, you don't seem to understand that laws aren't the most limiting factor in most people's lives. Simple economic realities prevent most people from moving to "whatever zip code they want."

Every disadvantage seems trivial if you ignore the actual barriers they impart.


An unwillingness to do whatever is necessary to improve one's station in life correlates with a lack of success in said life, I am afraid.

Another easy thing to do to improve your "luck" is vote pro-free-market, pro-business and pro-competition policies in your area. Sadly there is a high correlation (at least where I live) between how poor people are and how leftist they vote...


This is ignoring the fact that most people commenting here already won big time in the lottery of life: the family you were born into.

If you were born in a family in the wealthiest 10% of the world you have a lot of advantage over the person born in the least wealthy 10%. It's a lot more profound than that you got a game console for X-mas every other year.

For instance, does drowning while crossing the Mediterranean sea on a substandard boat not constitute a willingness to do whatever is necessary to improve one's station in life in your view?


Yes-- and beyond that, to be in the top 10% as of 2019, you needed a HOUSEHOLD income of $154,589. I'll bet many, if not most of the people on HN make or beat that with one household salary. I imagine that it's gotta be close to 200k by now, but a household with the income of a public school teacher and a construction laborer would undoubtedly get you into the top 25%.


Yeah, well, my family was lower middle class. The same for many wealthy people I know.

I noted also that my comments were referring to America, which is (still) a free market country that provides a great deal of opportunity. That's why millions of poor people try to get here.


> Another easy thing to do to improve your "luck" is vote pro-free-market, pro-business and pro-competition policies in your area.

Even granting the ideological premise, this is nonsense. Your vote has a minuscule chance of determining who gets elected or what policies they enact.

> Sadly there is a high correlation (at least where I live) between how poor people are and how leftist they vote...

What idiots, preferring the side that at least claims to care about them and is somewhat more likely to help them afford their next meal and their medical bills, rather than the side that blames them for their poverty and offers them 'economic freedom' without the resources that would make it meaningful.


America is not full of people who can't afford their next meal. America is full of middle class fat people. Americans throw away what, 40% of the food they buy?

The vast majority of Americans are also healthy and able-bodied, they are not dependent on life sustaining medical help. The bulk of a person's medical bills are heavily skewed towards aged people. And there's Medicare, Medicaid, and Obamacare.

> without the resources

Every American child is offered free K-12 education (with free lunches), and easy loans for college.


> Every American child is offered free K-12 education (with free lunches)

Spend some time in the south. Parents don’t let kids go to public schools and send them to parochial schools that teach creationism as science, and deride anything that disagrees with God’s word as false. That’s the schooling many kids get in the south.

Go read up a bit on A Beka books and the Bob Jones curriculum.

Those kids didn’t get a choice as to which parents to be born to. It was luck. That’s the point.

> and easy loans for college.

Hahahahahahahahahaha. Yes, “easy loans,” that depending on the job market you graduate into, you may never pay back.

Those students didn’t get the choice as to when they would be born and, thus, when they would graduate school. Entering the job market in 2003 and in 2008 was wildly different, and those that entered in 2008 were stunted not just for one year but many, as those that entered in 2006 or 2007 had more experience, fewer unexplained gaps, etc., all because of when they happened to be born.

Speak to people who don’t have money. Listen to what they say. Based on your responses, I can pretty much guarantee you’ve never done that.


I don't think this conversation is just about the US; an earlier comment in the chain said "for those in democratic socialist countries, stop voting for socialism".

But if the parent commenter was talking about America, 'leftist' presumably means Democrat. Medicare, Medicaid, and Obamacare were all introduced by Democrats and signed into law by Democratic presidents.

Until quite recently it was Republican policy to repeal Obamacare, and in 2017 a partial repeal (including big cuts to Medicaid) would have gone through if not for a small number who voted against the party line.


Actually, this should be expected: an inability to see beyond populist promises and to reason about the world and its immutable laws should often be correlated with staying poor.

The same mentality is pushing people to play the lottery, join pyramidal schemes and vote representatives pretending to solve their problems for them.


False equivalence. 20 years ago, it was much easier to “get out of poverty” than it is today.


> An unwillingness to do whatever is necessary to improve one's station in life correlates with a lack of success in said life, I am afraid.

An unwillingness to recognize that willpower isn't enough to overcome many, if not most blocks to social mobility in the US correlates with blind support for lazzais fair free market evangelism, I'm afraid.


> isn't enough

Yes. I listed upthread what was necessary.


> a libertarian outlook

Yes, I am a libertarian. Libertarianism is often derided as "simplistic" and "naive". The irony is it's anything but simplistic and naive. It's difficult to understand how order can arrive from chaos. It's difficult to understand how greed and selfishness produces great prosperity for a population.

Simplistic is the Star Trek world, which is ruled by an all-wise, incorruptible, benign dictator. It's the progressive vision of Utopia. The idea is that with enough laws (backed up by force) and enough propaganda, people will behave selflessly and will cooperate for the common good. Why this fails constantly baffles people, and they just reach for more laws and more force.




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