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>There is no such thing as a "probability" of any of those terms, in the way we normally understand probability, i.e. dice or card games.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_probability



If you mean the world is divided into frequentists and Bayesians, you're right. I think most people who throw around the Drake Equation are frequentists.

On this one, I'm neither. There is no way to put a number on it.




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