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Try thinking of it this way: The information is in which door the host does not open.

2/3rds of the time, your initial choice will be a goat. In those cases the host deliberately avoids opening the remaining door with a car - thereby telling you where it is.

If you chose the car door initially, then indeed you get no new information. But that only happens 1/3rd of the time.

I am curious if that changes your opinion.



Read their second paragraph. That is exactly how they think of it, and they do think it makes it obvious you should switch.


Ah! Apologies, I did not read that properly.




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