They're also not symmetrically distributed because delays are much larger than surprise wins. A win of 50% and a delay of 50% is already non-symmetrical, because the delay will be quite a bit larger, and the real numbers are even worse. A 5x delay on a particular element would be unsurprising, but to estimate something and then have it surprisingly cut to 1/5th the time is something I've only seen a handful of times in my career. "Oh! There's a library in the code that already does exactly this!"
The distribution of delays is pathological, too. It's not normal or poisson or anything nicely amenable to analysis.
The distribution of delays is pathological, too. It's not normal or poisson or anything nicely amenable to analysis.