Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submitlogin

> The sudden drop in Covid cases in India as the clearest indicator to me.

What's the alleged connection here? Are you claiming that some non-trivial number of patients in India were treated with this? How many, and at what point after being infected? And just how did the treatment affect the case numbers? Generally you'd expect the vast majority of secondary infections to happen before the diagnosis, not after, so a treatment seems totally irrelevant to the case numbers.



Not a primary source, so FWIW. The article compares states in India using ivermectin against those which are not. Some digging in the sources listed might get what you are looking for.

https://www.thedesertreview.com/news/national/ivermectin-obl...


>Are you claiming that some non-trivial number of patients in India were treated with this

Yes, example from two states.

https://indianexpress.com/article/cities/lucknow/uttar-prade...

https://www.news18.com/news/india/mortality-rate-much-lower-...

The testimony video in this page cites examples in many other countries https://covid19criticalcare.com/


I see no numbers on how many people were treated on either of the first two links, and certainly don't intend to comb through the dross on the third link. So do you actually have a number? It doesn't need to be exact, just a credible source on the order of magnitude will be enough. Are we talking a thousand, a million, or a billion here?

To reduce R by a factor of 2 by the use of a prophylactic drug, you'd need to have half of the population on a regime of the drug. It seems pretty obvious that did not happen if this kind of reporting is the most impactful there is. Just think of the logistics of trying to do that! India has a population of 1.4 billion.

On the other hand, if they only gave the snakeoil to e.g. a single digit number of millions of people the reduction in the number of infections would be imperceptible.


This is a great comment, and an example of why discussion of ivermectin should not be CENSORED but instead debated. These would be good questions to ask the creators of any videos on the topic and from what I can see, the most popular creators would probably be open to the discussion.


Its the governments of the two states that are making the claims in the news articles.

I think it is safe to suppose they or the associated medical authorities have observed a big enough benefit before making that claim.

But no, no concrete numbers, as I think there was not much of tracking the number of patients who were given the drug. May be it is because such numbers are not much of a value in terms of research data due to lack of controls.




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: