How do you get 10%? On avg you expect 3.3 people to die if IFR is 0.1%, so it sh...

		eanzenberg on April 9, 2020 \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: Covid-19 twice as contagious as previously thought... How do you get 10%? On avg you expect 3.3 people to die if IFR is 0.1%, so it shouldn’t be as low as 10% likely to get 1.

IFR relates death to total infected, not total population.