"Diamond princess is a non-stochastic sample, with all its attendant biases."
But isn't it a non-stochastic sample in the right direction ? Which is to say, the demographics of budget cruise line passengers are almost a worst-case. They represent the most susceptible cohort.
What we can infer from Diamond Princess is that the general population will, all else being equal, fare better statistically.
Yes, but I was responding to a claim that we already had "solid numbers on the fatality rate". They're far from solid. We have a small sample that gives us an idea of the CFR, for that demographic, but this tells us very little about global IFR.
But isn't it a non-stochastic sample in the right direction ? Which is to say, the demographics of budget cruise line passengers are almost a worst-case. They represent the most susceptible cohort.
What we can infer from Diamond Princess is that the general population will, all else being equal, fare better statistically.